結語
碳達峰、碳中和目標是基于我國國情和科學論證確立的目標,不僅有路徑、可操作,而且將帶動一系列技術進步與發展,帶來新投資、新產業、新交通、新建筑、新能源等,形成新的發展方式,深刻推動經濟和社會進步及生態文明建設,助力實現經濟、能源、環境、氣候的共贏和可持續發展。
實現碳達峰與碳中和是一項復雜的系統工程,須謀劃最優的戰略路徑,掌握好工作的節奏,積極而穩妥地把握好實現碳達峰、碳中和雙目標的節奏。
碳達峰、碳中和,是參與全球的世紀大考,是從工業文明時代走向生態文明時代,是人類文明的趕考,中國不能落伍,歷史要我們考出好成績!
注釋
[1]陳迎、巢清塵等:《碳達峰、碳中和100問》,北京:人民日報出版社,2021年。
[2]IPCC, "Summary for Policymakers" Global Warming of 1.5°C (An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C℃ above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty), 2018.
[3]United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), Emissions Gap Report 2020, Nairobi, https://www.unenvironment.org/zh-hans/emissions-gap-report-2020.
[4]鄧旭、謝俊、滕飛:《何謂“碳中和”?》,《氣候變化研究進展》,網絡首發時間:2020年12月25日。
[5]中國工程院中國能源中長期發展戰略研究項目組:《中國能源中長期(2030、2050)發展戰略研究綜合卷》,北京:科學出版社,2011年。
[6]數據來自于中國工程院“我國碳達峰、碳中和戰略及路徑研究”項目。
責 編/張 曉
杜祥琬,中國工程院原副院長,中國工程院院士,中國工程物理研究院高級科學顧問,國家氣候變化專家委員會名譽主任,俄羅斯國家工程院外籍院士,獲國家科技進步特等獎。研究方向為應用核物理、強激光技術和能源戰略。主要著作有《中國能源戰略研究》《激光物理與技術研究》《低碳發展總論》《核物理與核軍控研究》等。
On Carbon Peak and Carbon Neutralization
Du Xiangwan
Abstract: In 2020, China announced to the world its national goal of achieving carbon peak by 2030 and striving to achieve carbon neutralization by 2060. The dual targets of carbon peak and carbon neutralization are based on China's national conditions and scientific verification. There are paths to realize them and the paths are operable, they will also drive a series of technological progress, bring about new investment, new industries, new transportation, new buildings and new energy, help to form a new development mode, deeply promote economic and social progress and ecological preservation, create a win-win situation among the economy, energy, environment and climate, and promote sustainable development. Achieving carbon peak and carbon neutralization is a complex project. It is necessary to prepare an optimal strategic path, and keep a good grasp of the pace of the work to actively and steadily realize the dual targets.
Keywords: carbon peak, carbon neutralization, energy revolution, ecological preservation, sustainable development